Pair #3694

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SSTE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Stevens make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 891

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Stevens has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SSTE

Will Sam Stevens lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 467

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Stevens is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:44Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could collapse in R2), and making the cut does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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