Pair #3693

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SSTE

Will Sam Stevens win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 688061

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Stevens wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SSTE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Stevens finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1777

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Stevens finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the Texas Children's Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not require winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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