Pair #3692

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SSTE

Will Sam Stevens win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 688061

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Stevens wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SSTE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Stevens make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 891

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Stevens has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the Houston Open necessarily means Sam Stevens made the cut (you cannot win a tournament without surviving the cut). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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