Pair #3690

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SSTE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Stevens finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1777

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Stevens finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SSTE

Will Sam Stevens win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1210445

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Stevens wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Houston Open are entirely separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2810
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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