Pair #369

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-26-CBJ

Will Columbus Blue Jackets win the NHL Metropolitan Division?

Series: KXNHLMETROPOLITAN
Entity: Columbus Blue Jackets
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 9730

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025-2026 NHL Metropolitan Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-CBJ

Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Columbus Blue Jackets
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4902

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Columbus Blue Jackets wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:08Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best overall record) does not necessitate winning the Metropolitan Division — a team from another division could have the best record. And winning the Metropolitan Division does not necessitate winning the President's Trophy — another team could have a better overall record.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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