Pair #3689

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SSTE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Stevens make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 891

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8400

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Rules

If Sam Stevens has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SSTE

Will Sam Stevens win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1210445

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Stevens wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Houston Open are entirely separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1810
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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