Pair #3684

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JDAY

Will Jason Day win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jason Day
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1254077

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jason Day wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JDAY

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jason Day finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jason Day
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4888

YES ask: 0.7500
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jason Day finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the Texas Children's Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not require winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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