Pair #3681

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-TECHO26-SBUR

Will Sam Burns lead at the end of Round 2 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Sam Burns
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22616

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Burns is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SBUR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Burns finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sam Burns
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 14498

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Burns finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:11Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 does not guarantee a top 20 finish overall (could collapse in rounds 3-4). Finishing top 20 does not require having led after Round 2. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue