Pair #3673

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HEIO26-ABHA

Will Akshay Bhatia lead at the end of Round 1 in the Hero Indian Open?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 957

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Akshay Bhatia is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-ABHA

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 13832

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:11Z

Reasoning: Winning a PGA Tour Major and leading Round 1 of the Hero Indian Open are independent events. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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