Pair #3672

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HEIO26-ABHA

Will Akshay Bhatia lead at the end of Round 1 in the Hero Indian Open?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 957

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Akshay Bhatia is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-ABHA

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Akshay Bhatia finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2896

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:11Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in all 4 majors and leading Round 1 of the Hero Indian Open are entirely independent events. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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