Pair #3670

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-CGOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 427

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-CGOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 51797

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.3600
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:11Z

Reasoning: Event A is about Round 1 top 10, Event B is about the overall tournament top 20. A player can finish top 10 in Round 1 but miss the cut or finish outside top 20 overall. Conversely, a player can finish top 20 overall without being top 10 after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue