Pair #3668

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-CGOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 427

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-CGOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17741

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.4200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:52Z

Reasoning: Top 10 after Round 1 does not guarantee top 10 tournament finish, and top 10 tournament finish does not require top 10 after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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