Pair #3665

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-CGOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 427

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-CGOT

Will Chris Gotterup win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1416464

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:52Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1 (a player could start poorly and surge), and finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee winning. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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