Pair #3662

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-CGOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 427

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CGOT

Will Chris Gotterup win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6184887

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:52Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 10 in Round 1 of the Houston Open. These are completely independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8110
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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