Pair #3661

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-BKOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 556

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BKOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 123782

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:52Z

Reasoning: Top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee top 20 tournament finish (can fall significantly), and top 20 tournament finish does not require top 10 in Round 1. No logical necessity.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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