Pair #366

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLEAST-26-CBJ

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Columbus Blue Jackets
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 92107

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Columbus Blue Jackets wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-26-CBJ

Will Columbus Blue Jackets win the NHL Metropolitan Division?

Series: KXNHLMETROPOLITAN
Entity: Columbus Blue Jackets
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 9730

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025-2026 NHL Metropolitan Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:07:51Z

Reasoning: A team can win the Eastern Conference Finals as a wild card without winning their division. Winning the division does not guarantee winning the conference finals. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -11.06% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: 31
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -15.27% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue