Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-BKOE
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10 in Round 1?
Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 556
YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1600
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BKOE
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32384
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:52Z
Reasoning: A top 10 after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 tournament finish (can fall), and a top 10 tournament finish does not require a top 10 after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.9200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A