Pair #3658

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-BKOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 10544

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-BKOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 556

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:52Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require a top 10 Round 1 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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