Pair #3657

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 46393

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-BKOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 556

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:34Z

Reasoning: If Koepka leads after Round 1, he is by definition in the top 10 (the leader is first place). However, finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not require being the outright leader.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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