Pair #3656

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-BKOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 556

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1383379

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the Houston Open does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1 specifically (a player could start poorly and rally). Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee winning the tournament. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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