Pair #365

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLEAST-26-CBJ

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Columbus Blue Jackets
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 92107

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Columbus Blue Jackets wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-CBJ

Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Columbus Blue Jackets
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4902

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Columbus Blue Jackets wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:07:51Z

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals does not require winning the President's Trophy, and winning the President's Trophy does not guarantee winning the Eastern Conference Finals. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -11.06% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: 31
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -15.27% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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