Pair #3649

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR3LEAD-TECHO26-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry lead at the end of Round 3 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 467

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SLOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Shane Lowry make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2097

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:34Z

Reasoning: If Lowry leads after Round 3, he must have made the cut (you must make the cut to play Round 3). However, making the cut does not imply leading after Round 3.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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