Pair #3647

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR3LEAD-TECHO26-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry lead at the end of Round 3 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 467

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 186782

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Shane Lowry wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the Houston Open does not require leading after Round 3 (a player could be tied or behind going into Round 4 and still win). Leading after Round 3 does not guarantee winning. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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