Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-BGRI
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13475
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BGRI
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5229
YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.1000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:14Z
Reasoning: If Ben Griffin finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse is not true.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.1600
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A