Pair #3635

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3859

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5229

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:14Z

Reasoning: If Ben Griffin finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse is not true — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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