Pair #3634

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-BGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13475

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3859

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:01:14Z

Reasoning: If Ben Griffin finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10. The reverse is not true — top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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