Pair #3630

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 230432

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Griffin wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3859

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:55Z

Reasoning: Winning the Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is inside the top 10. So winning the tournament necessarily implies a top 10 finish. The reverse is false — a top 10 finish does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue