Pair #3626

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BGRI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ben Griffin finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3859

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2258339

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:55Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Houston Open are entirely separate tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0020
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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