Pair #3624

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNCAAHOCKEY-26-UND

Will North Dakota win the College Hockey National Championship?

Series: KXNCAAHOCKEY
Entity: North Dakota
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 79166

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If North Dakota is the 2026 College Hockey National Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNCAAHOCKEYGAME-26MAR262030MMKUND-UND

Merrimack vs North Dakota Winner?

Series: KXNCAAHOCKEYGAME
Entity: North Dakota
Expiration: 2026-03-27T03:30:00Z
Volume: 17004

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If North Dakota is the winner (inclusive of overtime but excluding shootouts) of the Merrimack vs North Dakota college hockey game scheduled for Mar 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: medium
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:55Z

Reasoning: Same logic as Pair 2: winning the national championship requires winning all games including this one against Merrimack, assuming single-elimination structure and this is a required path game. Reverse is false.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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