Pair #3622

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 135800

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR26GAUMUC-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the Gauff vs Muchova : Semifinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-26T17:00:00Z
Volume: 83073

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Coco Gauff wins the Gauff vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:55Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Gauff must win every match including the semifinal against Muchova. If she wins the tournament, she necessarily won the semifinal. The reverse is false — she could win the semifinal but lose the final.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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