Pair #3620

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 146036

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR26GAUMUC-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the Gauff vs Muchova : Semifinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-26T17:00:00Z
Volume: 83073

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins the Gauff vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open and winning the WTA Miami semifinal are in separate tournaments. No logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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