Pair #3619

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 23877

YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2900

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Rules

If Elena Rybakina wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR26SABRYB-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the Sabalenka vs Rybakina : Semifinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-03-27T03:30:00Z
Volume: 3142

YES ask: 0.4700
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Elena Rybakina wins the Sabalenka vs Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: If Rybakina wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open, she must have won all matches including the semifinal against Sabalenka. Winning the tournament logically necessitates winning that semifinal. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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