Pair #3618

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 224354

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Elena Rybakina wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR26SABRYB-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the Sabalenka vs Rybakina : Semifinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-03-27T03:30:00Z
Volume: 3142

YES ask: 0.4700
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Elena Rybakina wins the Sabalenka vs Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open and winning the WTA Miami semifinal are in separate tournaments. No logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4700
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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