Pair #3617

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-SAB

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Aryna Sabalenka
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 150218

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR26SABRYB-SAB

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Sabalenka vs Rybakina : Semifinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Aryna Sabalenka
Expiration: 2026-03-27T03:30:00Z
Volume: 5515

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the Sabalenka vs Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: If Sabalenka wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open, she must have won all matches including the semifinal against Rybakina. Winning the tournament logically necessitates winning that semifinal. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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