Pair #3612

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HEIO26-FMOL

Will Francesco Molinari win the Hero Indian Open?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Francesco Molinari
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5641

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Francesco Molinari wins the Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027EUR-FMOL

Francesco Molinari to be the Europe Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Francesco Molinari
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 3895

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Francesco Molinari is the Europe Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: Being named Europe Ryder Cup captain and winning the Hero Indian Open are independent events with no logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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