Pair #3611

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TWOO

Will Tiger Woods win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tiger Woods
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 976988

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Tiger Woods wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-TWOO

Tiger Woods to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Tiger Woods
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 492680

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tiger Woods competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: If Tiger Woods wins the Masters Tournament, he must have competed in it. Winning logically necessitates competing. The reverse does not hold — competing does not necessitate winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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