Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMASTERS-26-TWOO
Tiger Woods to compete in The Masters in 2026?
Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Tiger Woods
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 492680
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tiger Woods competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027USA-TWOO
Tiger Woods to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup
Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Tiger Woods
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 8436
YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tiger Woods is the U.S. Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:00:34Z
Reasoning: Being named U.S. Ryder Cup captain for 2027 does not logically necessitate competing in the 2026 Masters, and vice versa. These are independent events with no logical dependency.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.1000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A