Pair #3609

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-MKUC

Will Matt Kuchar win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6117

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Kuchar wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MKUC

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Matt Kuchar finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5270

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Kuchar finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:14:04Z

Reasoning: If Kuchar wins the tournament, he necessarily finishes top 20 (winning is a top-1 finish). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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