Pair #3607

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-MKUC

Will Matt Kuchar lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 379

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Kuchar is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MKUC

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Matt Kuchar finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5270

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Kuchar finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:14:04Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish — a player can lead R1 and then fall far down the leaderboard. And finishing top 20 does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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