Pair #3605

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR25LANLEH-LEH

Will Jiri Lehecka win the Landaluce vs Lehecka : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Jiri Lehecka
Expiration: 2026-03-25T20:00:00Z
Volume: 24374

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jiri Lehecka wins the Landaluce vs Lehecka professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR25LANLEH-2-LEH

Will Jiri Lehecka win set 2 in the Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Lehecka match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Jiri Lehecka
Expiration: 2026-03-25T20:00:00Z
Volume: 383

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.4300
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jiri Lehecka wins set 2 in the Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Lehecka professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:14:04Z

Reasoning: Winning set 2 does not guarantee winning the match (could lose in 3 sets), and winning the match does not guarantee winning set 2 (could win 2-0 taking sets 1 and 3, or win sets 1 and 2 — but a straight-sets 6-0 6-0 win includes set 2, while a 3-set win could have lost set 2). Neither direction is a logical necessity.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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