Pair #3603

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-PFIS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Patrick Fishburn finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Patrick Fishburn
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 260

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Fishburn finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-PFIS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Patrick Fishburn finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Patrick Fishburn
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 521

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patrick Fishburn finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:14:04Z

Reasoning: If Fishburn finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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