Pair #3602

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-MHUB

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mark Hubbard finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Mark Hubbard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 400

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mark Hubbard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MHUB

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mark Hubbard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mark Hubbard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 608

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mark Hubbard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:14:04Z

Reasoning: If Hubbard finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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