Pair #3601

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-HLEB

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Hank Lebioda finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Hank Lebioda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 222

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hank Lebioda finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-HLEB

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Hank Lebioda finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Hank Lebioda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2231

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hank Lebioda finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:50Z

Reasoning: If Lebioda finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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