Pair #3599

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TMUL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Trey Mullinax finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Trey Mullinax
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5411

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Trey Mullinax finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-TMUL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Trey Mullinax finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Trey Mullinax
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 548

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Trey Mullinax finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:50Z

Reasoning: If Mullinax finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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