Pair #3598

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TMUL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Trey Mullinax finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Trey Mullinax
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5411

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Trey Mullinax finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-TMUL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Trey Mullinax finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Trey Mullinax
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 430

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Trey Mullinax finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:50Z

Reasoning: Top 5 implies top 10, but top 10 does not imply top 5. Neither direction holds as a strict logical necessity for both directions; top 5 → top 10 holds but the question is which is antecedent. Here A is top 10 and B is top 5: top 10 does NOT imply top 5, and top 5 DOES imply top 10, so the implication runs B→A, not A→B.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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