Pair #3597

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ZDOU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Zecheng Dou finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Zecheng Dou
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6041

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Zecheng Dou finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ZDOU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Zecheng Dou finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Zecheng Dou
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17300

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Zecheng Dou finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:50Z

Reasoning: If Dou finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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