Pair #3591

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BBUR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 570

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BBUR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9927

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4800
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:50Z

Reasoning: If Burgoon finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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