Pair #3590

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-BBUR

Will Bronson Burgoon lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3878

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BBUR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9927

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4800
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:50Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate finishing top 20 (could fade over remaining rounds), and finishing top 20 does not necessitate leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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