Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-26-PIT
Will Pittsburgh Penguins win the NHL Metropolitan Division?
Series: KXNHLMETROPOLITAN
Entity: Pittsburgh Penguins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16352
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025-2026 NHL Metropolitan Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-PIT
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Pittsburgh Penguins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 167058
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Pittsburgh Penguins are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:07:51Z
Reasoning: Winning the Metropolitan Division guarantees a playoff spot. However, making the playoffs does not require winning the division (wild card entry is possible). So division win implies playoff qualifier, but not vice versa.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$2.0000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A