Pair #3589

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-BBUR

Will Bronson Burgoon lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3878

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BBUR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 570

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:13:30Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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